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                    "By Julian Lee (Bloomberg) \u2014 Oil shipments from the Middle East are showing little sign of buckling in the face of Iran\u2019s more frequent and damaging\u00a0attacks\u00a0on merchant ships in the region.\n\n\n\nCrude and condensate flows from the Persian Gulf hit a high of 24.6 million barrels a day in the week to Oct. 18, according to data provider Kpler. However, shipments are volatile and figures for the average of October to date remain below prewar levels. Loadings tend to happen in bunches, with ships traveling in convoys through the Strait of Hormuz, shuttling cargoes to tankers waiting outside the waterway before returning to reload.\n\n\n\nFigures from rival data firm Vortexa don\u2019t show the same weekly surge, highlighting the difficulty of establishing export levels as most tankers are currently operating with their positioning signals turned off. It pegs flows over the same seven-day period at 18 million barrels a day. Both companies estimate flows before the conflict was at least 18.5 million barrels a day.\u00a0\n\n\n\nThe continued strong volumes despite the Iranian attacks show the desire for Middle Eastern producers to keep moving their barrels. Oil forms the backbone of the countries\u2019 economies and they\u2019ve been competing for customers in recent months to make up for billions of dollars of missed sales during the conflict.\n\n\n\nFor October so far, Kpler pegs Middle East flows at 16.7 million barrels a day, while Vortexa puts it at 15.4 million. Kpler aggregates its numbers from Hormuz transits, net flows via ship-to-ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman, exports through Red Sea ports and those on the Gulf of Oman in the United Arab Emirates and Oman. The Vortexa numbers sum shipments from Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Oman.\n\n\n\nThe resilience comes as producers including Iraq are sending more volumes through Hormuz while Saudi Arabia is sending oil out from both its Persian Gulf and Red Sea coast. The kingdom\u00a0boosted production\u00a0by a third in September to over 8 million barrels a day, recovering from the lowest in more than three decades in the previous month. The UAE, one of the\u00a0most successful\u00a0in moving tankers through Hormuz, has pushed its production to\u00a0record-high\u00a0levels, according to the International Energy Agency.\n\n\n\nThese efforts appear to be holding up in spite of a spate of attacks in the waterway that\u2019s also\u00a0sunk\u00a0at least one container ship this month.\u00a0UK Maritime Trade Operations, a unit of the country\u2019s navy, has reported 32 attacks on ships around the Arabian peninsula so far this month, compared with 16 in the whole of September. Some of these have struck ships\u2019\u00a0engine rooms, inflicting more severe damage.\n\n\n\n\u201cAttacks on merchant vessels around the Strait have increased sharply in recent weeks,\u201d Morgan Stanley analysts including Martijn Rats wrote in a note. Still, \u201coil flow through the strait has remained relatively resilient,\u201d they added.\n\n\n\nShipments are\u00a0proving strong\u00a0with fleets owned by the producing countries and a few\u00a0gutsy shipowners\u00a0keeping crude flows close to last month\u2019s levels that were the highest since the conflict began. The UAE, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are among nations that have shuttled their oil through Hormuz in their own tankers, and delivered the cargo to customers\u2019 vessels outside the strait.\n\n\n\nThe levels are also significant because of the\u00a0complete loss\u00a0of Iran\u2019s exports following a US blockade of the country\u2019s ports. Both Kpler and Vortexa estimate the Islamic Republic was shipping close to 2 million barrels a day in February.\n\n\n\nThe assessments of Mideast flows are subject to change as tankers operating in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea with their automatic information systems switched off make real-time tracking more complicated. The process is hampered further by the withholding of satellite imagery over the region. As a result, shipments are frequently only recorded several days after they occur, leading to upward revisions.\n\n\n\nThe shuttling service and the tendency for tankers to move in convoys have also made exports lumpy at times, with brief surges followed by periods of relative slowdown.\n\n\n\nFor example, satellite images of the biggest Saudi oil terminal in the Persian Gulf show five very large crude carriers loading at the seven moorings on Oct. 12 and 13, but the number had fallen to just one on Oct. 20. The pattern is similar at other oil ports in the Persian Gulf and on the Red Sea.\n\n\n\n\u00a9\u00a02026\u00a0Bloomberg L.P.\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t                \n\n\n\t\tSubscribe for Daily Maritime Insights\n\t\tSign up for gCaptain\u2019s newsletter and never miss an update\n        \u2014 trusted by our 106,509 members"
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