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                    "The target set in 2015 by the Paris Agreement\u2014to limit global warming to 1.5\u00b0C by 2100\u2014has become unachievable within the span of a single decade, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) notes in its 2026 Emissions Gap Report.\n\u201cThe opportunity to bridge the 1.5\u00b0C emissions gap with \u2018no or limited\u2019 overshoot has been lost,\u201d states the report, titled \u201cThe Point of Return.\u201d\nExceeding the 1.5\u00b0C threshold above pre-industrial levels is now imminent and inevitable.\nNew goal: not exceed 2\u00b0C, then bring the temperature back down to 1.5\u00b0C\n\u201cEvery additional fraction of a degree and additional year of warming above 1.5\u00b0C raises the risk of irreversible changes including in ice sheets, permafrost carbon, ocean circulation and coral systems, along with devastating human impacts,\u201d the report states.\nThe urgent task is to ensure that global warming remains below the 2\u00b0C threshold, with the aim of returning to 1.5\u00b0C by the end of the century. This is the only option left, according to UNEP.\n\n\n\n\n\u00a9 Maxim Tolchinskiy / Unsplash\nHighly inadequate climate plans \nTo achieve this, global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions would need to be reduced by 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035, and 69% by 2040, relative to 2025 levels.\nThe current trajectory falls far short of this. Even assuming that the commitments made by governments\u2014known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs)\u2014are fully implemented, emissions would only be reduced by 5% to 8% by 2030 and by 11% to 15% by 2035, compared to 2025 levels.\nThe recommended efforts are \u201cclose to 6 per cent every single year until 2035,\u201d declares the UN Secretary General.\nHow can this be achieved? \nThe UN Chief outlined the levers for action available to humanity:\n\u201cThe emissions gap is now a leadership gap. And the world is running out of time and excuses to close it.\nGovernments must go much further and faster. Accelerate clean energy and electrification across every sector.\nAdopt credible roadmaps to transition away from fossil fuels \u2013 with clear timelines and protection for affected workers and communities.\nInvest in grids and storage. Improve energy efficiency. Cut methane emissions. Halt and reverse deforestation.\u201d\n\n\n\n\nHalting deforestation and engaging in massive reforestation will have to happen. \u00a9 Vlad Hilitanu / Unsplash\nWhat are the specific targets? \nThe report indicates that by 2035, the capacity of renewable energy sources must triple compared to 2025 levels. Furthermore, the phase-out of fossil fuels requires reducing the respective shares of coal, oil, and gas in energy production by 55%, 15%, and 5% by 2035.\nBy 2040, reductions of at least 75%, 30%, and 35% would be necessary.\nLarge-scale operations to remove CO2 from the atmosphere will also be imperative to return to the 1.5\u00b0C threshold\u2014or even lower.\nUNEP estimates that 320 gigatons of CO2 \u2014equivalent to eight times the emissions recorded in 2024\u2014 must be removed from the atmosphere by the end of the century. This implies biological solutions, such as reforestation, as well as technological approaches involving the compression, mineralisation, and underground storage of CO2.\nReversing the trend remains possible\nAccelerating the momentum is still possible, according to UNEP, given the significant progress made since 2015.\n\u201cSince the adoption of the Paris Agreement, global renewable electricity capacity has grown three times faster than anticipated, with solar PV build-out increasing seven times faster\u201d, states UNEP Chief Inger Andersen.\n\u201cTotal energy supply from coal and oil has grown slower than projected. Climate policies have delivered real emission reductions across the world and across sectors. Several G20 members have shown sustained emission reductions, and some are aligning policies with net-zero pledges.\u201d\nThe progress made remains insufficient, particularly with regard to fossil fuels and deforestation.\nBecause the climate knows no borders, limiting any overshoot of 1.5\u00b0C as much as possible requires action across the entire economy and on a global scale.\n\nAdditional links:\n\nRead the full report"
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