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                    "OCTOBER 11, 2026 18:57Updated: OCTOBER 11, 2026 19:39Saudi Arabia is unlikely to back down in the face of the Houthis following an attack on Riyadh\u2019s airport that killed 12 people and wounded 309, with the kingdom likely stepping up its military campaign against the Iran-backed terror group, regional experts told The Jerusalem Post.The attack, which marked a significant escalation in the Houthis\u2019 campaign against Saudi Arabia, has exposed the kingdom\u2019s vulnerability to strikes against civilian infrastructure. Bernard Haykel, a senior fellow at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies (FDD), said Saudi Arabia had long understood the Houthis\u2019 ability to carry out such attacks, particularly with what he described as support from Iran and Iraqi Shiite militias.\u201cMy sense is that they\u2019re not going to buckle. They\u2019re not going to just capitulate to the Houthis because of this,\u201d he explained.Haykel said Riyadh now faces a choice between reaching an accommodation with the Houthis or intensifying its military campaign against them, adding that he expects the Saudis will pursue the latter course and rely more heavily on Yemeni forces opposed to the group.\u201cI think that they\u2019re going to ramp up against the Houthis,\u201d he said.Smoke and flames rise from King Khalid Airport, after Yemen\u2019s Iran-backed Houthis said they attacked the airport, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, October 8, 2026, in this screengrab obtained from a social media video. (credit: Social Media/via REUTERS)The attack comes as Saudi Arabia faces the consequences of a broader regional conflict that Riyadh had sought to avoid. According to Haykel, Saudi leaders opposed the war against Iran and made considerable efforts to prevent it, but now recognize that they will have to bear some of its costs.\u201cThey realize that they have to pay a price,\u201d he said.Former ambassador says attack shocked SaudisMichael Ratney, former US Ambassador to Saudi Arabia and senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), said the scale and audacity of the attack had shocked the Saudis, even though they were familiar with the Houthis\u2019 military capabilities.Ratney noted that the Houthis had already carried out several strikes against airports, including in Riyadh, during the preceding week, while the latest was the most serious of those incidents. \u201cI think they were shocked, but in a way understood that this is what the Houthis are all about,\u201d Ratney explained.He identified the targeting of civilian airports as a particularly significant escalation. In the past, the Houthis had generally focused on military installations and energy infrastructure, including Saudi military bases and energy facilities.\u201cFor them to target civilian airports with the expectation of civilian casualties is really a new escalation for the Houthis,\u201d Ratney said.The attacks put Riyadh in a difficult position as it seeks to achieve its military objectives in Yemen without triggering a wider escalation that could expose additional Saudi infrastructure to retaliation.Ratney said Saudi Arabia\u2019s immediate military priority was to help the Yemeni army retake positions along the coast near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that the Houthis had seized the previous month.\u201cThey\u2019re determined to get the Houthis off of the Bab el-Mandeb,\u201d he said, adding that Riyadh would probably then look for a way to de-escalate the conflict.Riyadh growing concerns over lack of American assistanceBoth experts pointed to Riyadh's concerns about the limits of American military assistance, especially as Washington deploys forces and resources across the region.Haykel said Saudi Arabia was disappointed that the United States was not better prepared to help defend the kingdom against attacks from the Houthis and Iran, particularly given the potential shortage of missile-defense systems.\u201cI think there\u2019s disappointment that the Americans are not better prepared and better able to help in fighting the Houthis and the Iranians,\u201d he said.At the same time, Haykel said Saudi leaders understand that American military power has limits, particularly when US forces are already heavily committed across the Persian Gulf.Ratney said the United States was providing some assistance behind the scenes, including intelligence sharing, targeting and operational planning. But he added that Riyadh would prefer more direct American involvement in airstrikes.\u201cClearly what they would like is US support on airstrikes, and I think there is some frustration,\u201d he said.The attack could influence Washington\u2019s willingness to provide more overt military support, Ratney said, although he cautioned that Trump\u2019s response was difficult to predict.Still, Ratney said neither Saudi Arabia nor the United States appeared eager to escalate the conflict further.Saudis worried about further strikes on civilian infrastructureThe concern is that intensifying military operations against Iran or the Houthis could provoke disproportionate retaliation, with civilian infrastructure rather than military targets bearing the consequences.\u201cNone of them really want to escalate at this point because they see the result,\u201d Ratney said.The attack also raises questions about whether Israel could play a greater role in helping Saudi Arabia counter the Houthi threat, given Israel\u2019s experience confronting Iranian-backed groups and its advanced intelligence and air-defense capabilities.\u201cThe political risk of that outweighs any kind of military benefits that they might derive,\u201d Ratney said, explaining that Saudi leaders are reluctant to see Israeli politicians publicly highlight or take credit for cooperation between the two countries.Haykel was more skeptical about Israel\u2019s ability to deliver a decisive military blow against the Houthis, particularly through intelligence-led operations targeting the group\u2019s leadership.He said Israel had developed extensive intelligence capabilities against Hezbollah in Lebanon, allowing it to target the organization\u2019s senior figures and commanders. He does not believe Israel currently possesses a comparable level of intelligence on the Houthis in Yemen.\u201cIf the Israelis had the intelligence on the Houthis to, say, destroy the leadership of the Houthis and the second-, third-tier commanders, you know, what they did to Hezbollah, basically, if they could do that in Yemen, that would be an incredible service and help in this war,\u201d Haykel said.For Riyadh, the immediate challenge remains how to deter further Houthi attacks without becoming trapped in another prolonged and costly conflict in Yemen. Both experts agree that it will be hard.Follow us on Google"
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