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                    "New Republican poll shows her clinging to a narrow lead over Democrat Annie Andrews\u2026\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tSeptember 26, 2026September 26, 20264 \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\n        \nby WILL FOLKS\n\n\n\n***\n\n\n\nConservative Republicans in South Carolina made it abundantly clear during the 2026 primary election cycle that they didn\u2019t want the sister of fiscally liberal warmonger Lindsey Graham serving as the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate this fall.\n\n\n\nUnfortunately, the Palmetto State\u2019s Republican establishment \u2013 egged on by U.S. president Donald Trump \u2013 refused to listen, and proceeded to launch a multi-million dollar campaign in support of left-of-center \u201cRepublican\u201d Darline Graham Nordone.\n\n\n\nAt the same time, Trump and his SCGOP allies spent millions attacking Nordone\u2019s Freedom Caucus rival, U.S. congressman Ralph Norman \u2013 a move that further alienated the state\u2019s growing conservative base.\n\n\n\nNow, the consequences of this ongoing alienation are becoming painfully clear for the Palmetto State\u2019s GOP ruling class\u2026 and for Trump.\n\n\n\nDays after national analysts noted the increasing competitiveness of Nordone\u2019s general election against Democrat Annie Andrews, a new survey from one of the nation\u2019s most accurate Republican pollsters has revealed the race to be a dead heat.\n\n\n\n\n\n***\n\n\n\nAccording to poll results released on Saturday (September 26, 2026) from the Trafalgar Group, Nordone is clinging to an incredibly narrow advantage over her Democrat rival. Asked to say who they would support if the election were held tomorrow, 43.4% said Nordone compared to 42.3% who answered Andrews \u2013 a spread of just +1.1%.\n\n\n\nAnother 5.9% of respondents said they were supporting another candidate, while 8.5% indicated they were undecided.\n\n\n\nWhat makes these numbers even more troubling for Nordone? According to the Trafalgar survey, nearly six-out-of-ten respondents (59.1%) identified as Republicans, compared to just 29.3% who professed being Democrats. The remainder of the sample \u2013 11.6% \u2013 did not identify with either of the two major parties.\n\n\n\n\u201cThis is very, very bad if these numbers are believed,\u201d a top Republican strategist unaffiliated with any of the Senate campaigns told us.\n\n\n\n***\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nRELATED | SHIFTING SANDS IN U.S. SENATE RACE\n\n\n\n***\n\n\n\nRun by veteran national GOP strategist Robert Cahaly, Trafalgar has been consistently on the money in its South Carolina assessments. Cahaly surveyed 1,087 respondents between September 23-25, 2026. His poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9%.\n\n\n\nAs we noted earlier this week, many Norman supporters plan to\u00a0write the congressman\u2019s name\u00a0on their 2026 ballots \u2013 a movement that is likely taking at least 1-2% out of the Republican\u2019s right flank. Meanwhile, Nordone has been\u00a0completely outflanked\u00a0by Andrews the affordability front.\n\n\n\n\u201cThis is a perfect storm,\u201d another Republican operative unaffiliated with any of the campaigns told us. \u201cA terrible GOP candidate, a divided Republican party, an unpopular president and economic headwinds that an otherwise unelectable Democrat candidate is deftly capitalizing on.\u201d\n\n\n\nNo Democrat has won a statewide election in South Carolina since 2006. No Democrat has won a top-of-the-ticket race in South Carolina since 1998.\n\n\n\nCould Andrews break that streak in November? If these numbers hold up, she\u2019s got an even money shot\u2026 \n\n\n\n***\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nABOUT THE AUTHOR\u2026\n\n\n\nWill Folks (FITSNews)\n\n\n\nWill Folks\u00a0is the founding editor of the news outlet you are currently reading. Prior to founding FITSNews, he served as press secretary to the governor of South Carolina. He lives in the Midlands region of the state with his wife and eight children.\n\n\n\n***\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSOUND OFF\u2026 \n\n\n\nGot something you\u2019d like to say in response to one of our articles? Or an issue you\u2019d like to address proactively? We have an open microphone policy!  Submit your letter to the editor (or guest column) via email HERE.  Got a tip for a story?\u00a0CLICK HERE.  Got a technical question or a glitch to report?\u00a0CLICK HERE."
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