Democrats are targeting 5 GOP seats in California

Notable seats on California's redistricting map, by the incumbent, 2024 presidential margin, and probability of a Democratic win in Decision Desk HQ's forecast, as of Sept. 14

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*California's new map obliterated Kiley's current 3rd District, so he is running in the new 6th District (he now identifies as an independent but remains part of the House GOP).
†Sánchez currently represents the 38th District but is running in the new 41st District. The current 41st is represented by Republican Rep. Ken Calvert, who faces fellow GOP Rep. Young Kim in the new 40th District. The new 38th District is listed as a GOP-held seat to account for these shifts.

Source: DDHQ Votes