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                    "SEPTEMBER 2, 2026 18:01Updated: SEPTEMBER 2, 2026 20:09The IRGC\u2019s decision to target American bases, assets and allies, barring Israel, is part of a strategy to see the US knocked out of the region before any renewed war with Israel, military historian and analyst Tom Cooper told The Jerusalem Post on Wednesday.Iran launched retaliatory strikes on US-linked sites in Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain overnight from Tuesday to Wednesday, following the US\u2019s renewal of strikes against IRGC targets in Iran on Tuesday.By focusing its attacks on Hormuz and regional neighbors, Cooper claimed the IRGC could focus on \u201cknocking out one opponent \u2013 the USA \u2013 out of this war\u201d while \u201cpreserving the IRGC\u2019s firepower for whenever Israel attacks Iran again.\u201dAttacking the Gulf states and preventing the free-flowing transit of oil, gas, and fertilizer exports creates both indirect and direct pressure on Iran\u2019s neighbors through rising insurance costs and shipping risks.This pressure, Cooper offered, is Tehran\u2019s attempt to give its neighboring states \u201cthe option of reconsidering their stance \u2013 while not expecting them to do so.\u201dVessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. (credit: REUTERS/STRINGER)IRGC preparing for conflict for decadesFrom the IRGC\u2019s perspective, he explained, an attack on Israel would result in a larger two-front war, risking serious damage to its infrastructure in western Iran and Tehran.Should Israel carry out these theoretical attacks, though, while painful for Tehran, \u201csimply can\u2019t hurt it enough\u201d to make such an action a deciding move in the war, he continued.The IRGC has spent decades preparing for the conflict, and its underground missile cities have meant that the IRGC could still sustain itself under a more prolonged attack from Israel and the US, even if such an event would be inconvenient, he reasoned.\u201cThis approach aligns with the IRGC\u2019s doctrine of asymmetric deterrence: it is precisely the kind of war for which they have been preparing for at least 20 years,\u201d he said.\u201cIt is a war inflicting such high costs on the US and its allies that it forces a political recalibration \u2013 but, at the same time, it manages the escalation ladder.\u201dCooper added that Tehran also only needed to wait out the clock on US President Donald Trump\u2019s patience, supplies, and/or presidency.Claiming Trump had been promised a quick success, Cooper asserted that Israel\u2019s declining popularity in the US would naturally be accompanied by a reluctance for American involvement in its wars, \u201cregardless of how powerful AIPAC remains.\u201dNetanyahu spending American political capital\u00a0A poll published by Pew Research last month found that 42% of the American public viewed the Israeli people negatively and 62% viewed the Israeli government unfavorably.The American public\u2019s attitudes toward both the Israeli people and the Israeli government have turned more negative in the past few years, the poll found, especially among those aged below 30.On the Israeli side, Cooper said that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was likely trying to \u201cspend\u201d American military support while he has it.Though the White House and the Pentagon denied claims of munitions shortages last month, Cooper claimed that Iran was successfully forcing the US to \u201cexhaust\u201d its strategic stocks of cruise missiles and interceptors, which reduces the US capability to attack in a larger, more coordinated way.\u201cIt is also shaming both the US and Israel, and their allies, simply because no matter how much they \u2018bomb\u2019 Iran, they can\u2019t hit the IRGC\u2019s capability to retaliate,\u201d he said. \u201c...It (the IRGC) is well on the way to knocking out the US presence in the Middle East\u2026\u201dCooper said that it was ultimately the \u201carrogance and incompetence of the US-Israeli leadership, at a political and a military level, of the last years, if not decades,\u201d that had led to what he viewed as a major failure.Follow us on Google"
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