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                    "Analysis:\u00a0Trump\u2019s approval has fallen to 33% as the Iran war pushes gas prices higher, while Republicans risk losing control of Congress and rivals may calculate they can simply wait out WashingtonWith the Iran war now locked in a costly standoff and crises from Ukraine to Gaza still unresolved, President Donald Trump\u2019s ambitious foreign policy agenda appears increasingly stuck as he heads toward November\u2019s midterm elections.The setbacks are striking for a president who returned to office last year promising to be a \u201cpeacemaker\u201d and made resolving international conflicts a centerpiece of his second-term agenda.GalleryUS President Donald Trump (Photo: Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP)Trump has grown increasingly impatient with reporters\u2019 questions and even with U.S. allies. This week, he lashed out at journalists pressing him on foreign policy and renewed a threat to bomb Oman, a U.S. ally that has been negotiating with Iran over reopening the Strait of Hormuz.Labor Day, which falls on September 7 this year, traditionally marks the point when U.S. election campaigns move into high gear. Republicans now face the prospect that unresolved conflicts abroad, combined with their economic fallout at home, could threaten the party\u2019s control of Congress.Trump called off talks with Tehran after weeks of pushing for a diplomatic solution and announced Wednesday a new campaign of \u201ceconomic warfare\u201d against the Islamic Republic, an apparent acknowledgment that months of military attacks have failed to force the concessions Washington wants.As inflation persists and the Iran war drives gasoline prices higher, Trump\u2019s approval rating has fallen to another low. Just 33% of Americans approved of his performance in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll.Other peace efforts have also stalled. On Monday, Trump\u2019s negotiator and son-in-law Jared Kushner left talks on advancing a Gaza peace agreement without a breakthrough. An expected visit to Kyiv by Kushner and Trump envoy Steve Witkoff, aimed at reviving long-stalled negotiations to end Russia\u2019s war in Ukraine, has yet to take place.Trump\u2019s negotiator and son-in-law Jared Kushner and envoy Steve Witkoff (Photo: Alexander KAZAKOV / POOL / AFP)After a string of early foreign policy achievements, including a Gaza ceasefire and the capture of Venezuela\u2019s leader, Trump\u2019s record has become increasingly defined by diplomatic efforts that have failed to produce lasting settlements.\u201cTrump has successfully challenged and disrupted the comfortable foreign policy consensus in Washington, but has not translated that disruption into a strategy with deliverables for Americans,\u201d said Asli Aydintasbas, a fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington.The conflict with Iran has weighed \u201cintensely\u201d on the president, and there is no consensus inside the White House on how to resolve it, according to one Trump ally who spoke on condition of anonymity.The pressure could increase if investors conclude the war will drag on, driving up U.S. borrowing costs and further constraining Trump\u2019s domestic agenda. Trump has argued that the economic costs are worth bearing to ensure Iran does not obtain a nuclear weapon, despite Tehran\u2019s denials that it seeks one.Strait of Hormuz (Photo: REUTERS/Stringer)\u201cPresident Trump has successfully made America respected again, and the results speak for themselves \u2013 nine wars have ended, hostages have been freed from Gaza, trade deals are fairer, and now, Iran will be prevented from ever possessing a nuclear weapon,\u201d White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly said.A senior Trump administration official said U.S. sanctions and a naval blockade had crippled Iran\u2019s economy and left it \u201ccompletely broke,\u201d adding: \u201cThere are many levers the president can crank harder in the weeks ahead.\u201dSome experts give Trump credit for a willingness to confront disputes they believe previous presidents were unable or unwilling to tackle.\u201cThe president wants a more stable world and that means attempting to resolve disputes, whether hot like Ukraine or cold like trade and overcapacity,\u201d said Nick Snyder, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. He also pointed to Trump\u2019s efforts to settle conflicts between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo and between Thailand and Cambodia.Trump has upended traditional diplomatic norms, relying heavily on America\u2019s economic and military power, including against U.S. allies. But that unorthodox approach has produced mixed results.He brought the parties together in an effort to end Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine, but the longest war in Europe since World War II remains far from over. The latest Russian airstrikes killed 16 people in Kyiv on Thursday.In Gaza, mediators fear intensifying Israeli strikes are undermining efforts to end the conflict, while both Israel and Hamas continue to resist conditions needed to advance a peace plan Trump forged last October. In Lebanon, Israeli airstrikes killed 11 people on Sunday even as a U.S.-mediated peace framework between Israel and Lebanon remains in effect.IDF forces in Gaza (Photo: IDF)One notable success came in Venezuela, where the U.S. military captured President Nicolas Maduro without U.S. casualties. Analysts say that operation helped convince Trump that joining Israel in attacking Iran could also proceed smoothly.That calculation, they argue, proved mistaken. Trump has relied heavily on coercive pressure, but Iran\u2019s leaders have little incentive to back down or reopen the Strait of Hormuz even as the country\u2019s economy weakens.\u201cHe is obsessed with applying coercion, and sometimes flattery, to bend others to his will, but oblivious to their strategic goals and domestic politics. As a result, he keeps flailing and failing,\u201d said Stephen Wertheim, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Meanwhile, the political clock is ticking. Trump\u2019s Republican Party faces elections that could cost it control of one or both chambers of Congress and sharply limit his ability to advance his agenda during the final two years of his presidency.Analysts say Trump\u2019s reliance on coercive pressure can bring adversaries to the negotiating table but often fails to produce durable settlements, a pattern that may encourage rivals to simply wait him out.\u201cU.S. adversaries understand that his political clock is shorter than theirs, and that while the United States can apply enormous coercive pressure, it may eventually lose patience,\u201d Aydintasbas said.\u201cPutin, Xi and Iran may therefore want to wait out Washington. After November, the incentive to wait out Trump will become even more pronounced.\u201d"
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